Phoebe Gates' co-founded AI shopping app Phia faces intense scrutiny over alleged cookie stuffing that injected unauthorized affiliate tracking cookies, a practice Bloomberg reporting and internal Slack messages indicate the founders knew about since December 2025. This has triggered platform suspensions, a temporary restraining order, and potential federal wire fraud questions carrying steep penalties, yet the 95% market-implied odds for no arrest by year-end reflect the absence of charges, indictments, or active enforcement actions. High-profile tech startup cases typically move through civil or regulatory channels first, with criminal arrests rare without proven intent and lengthy investigations. Wealthy defendants with top legal resources further reduce near-term arrest likelihood. Unexpected developments, such as rapid DOJ filing or new evidence of deliberate fraud, could still shift timelines before December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPhoebe Gates arrêtée avant le 31 décembre ?
Phoebe Gates arrêtée avant le 31 décembre ?
Oui
5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
Oui
5% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phoebe Gates' co-founded AI shopping app Phia faces intense scrutiny over alleged cookie stuffing that injected unauthorized affiliate tracking cookies, a practice Bloomberg reporting and internal Slack messages indicate the founders knew about since December 2025. This has triggered platform suspensions, a temporary restraining order, and potential federal wire fraud questions carrying steep penalties, yet the 95% market-implied odds for no arrest by year-end reflect the absence of charges, indictments, or active enforcement actions. High-profile tech startup cases typically move through civil or regulatory channels first, with criminal arrests rare without proven intent and lengthy investigations. Wealthy defendants with top legal resources further reduce near-term arrest likelihood. Unexpected developments, such as rapid DOJ filing or new evidence of deliberate fraud, could still shift timelines before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$21Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Phoebe Gates' co-founded AI shopping app Phia faces intense scrutiny over alleged cookie stuffing that injected unauthorized affiliate tracking cookies, a practice Bloomberg reporting and internal Slack messages indicate the founders knew about since December 2025. This has triggered platform suspensions, a temporary restraining order, and potential federal wire fraud questions carrying steep penalties, yet the 95% market-implied odds for no arrest by year-end reflect the absence of charges, indictments, or active enforcement actions. High-profile tech startup cases typically move through civil or regulatory channels first, with criminal arrests rare without proven intent and lengthy investigations. Wealthy defendants with top legal resources further reduce near-term arrest likelihood. Unexpected developments, such as rapid DOJ filing or new evidence of deliberate fraud, could still shift timelines before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoebe Gates is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$21Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Phoebe Gates' co-founded AI shopping app Phia faces intense scrutiny over alleged cookie stuffing that injected unauthorized affiliate tracking cookies, a practice Bloomberg reporting and internal Slack messages indicate the founders knew about since December 2025. This has triggered platform suspensions, a temporary restraining order, and potential federal wire fraud questions carrying steep penalties, yet the 95% market-implied odds for no arrest by year-end reflect the absence of charges, indictments, or active enforcement actions. High-profile tech startup cases typically move through civil or regulatory channels first, with criminal arrests rare without proven intent and lengthy investigations. Wealthy defendants with top legal resources further reduce near-term arrest likelihood. Unexpected developments, such as rapid DOJ filing or new evidence of deliberate fraud, could still shift timelines before December 31.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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