The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 vacated the D.C. Circuit's ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction for defying a January 6 committee subpoena, remanding the case to district court where the Trump administration's Justice Department—having moved in February to dismiss the indictment as no longer in the interests of justice—can now proceed. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal of charges remains pending, with no district court ruling yet despite the cleared procedural path. Traders reflect 70% implied probability against exoneration by April 30 in this skin-in-the-game consensus, citing uncertainty over the timeline for lower court action amid potential delays in processing the DOJ motion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
$10,535 Vol.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 6, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bannon’s 2022 Contempt of Congress conviction is dismissed, overturned, vacated, or otherwise reversed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying reversal requires that a United States court or other competent legal authority formally nullify the conviction itself. The vacating of appellate rulings, procedural actions toward reconsideration, or other changes which do not themselves result in the nullification of the conviction, will not alone count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Supreme Court on April 6 vacated the D.C. Circuit's ruling upholding Steve Bannon's 2022 contempt of Congress conviction for defying a January 6 committee subpoena, remanding the case to district court where the Trump administration's Justice Department—having moved in February to dismiss the indictment as no longer in the interests of justice—can now proceed. Bannon completed his four-month sentence in 2024, but formal dismissal of charges remains pending, with no district court ruling yet despite the cleared procedural path. Traders reflect 70% implied probability against exoneration by April 30 in this skin-in-the-game consensus, citing uncertainty over the timeline for lower court action amid potential delays in processing the DOJ motion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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