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icon for Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

icon for Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ?

$3,609,958 Vol.

30 sept. 2026
Polymarket

$3,609,958 Vol.

Polymarket

30 septembre

$1,101,350 Vol.

1%

31 décembre

$857,881 Vol.

6%

30 juin 2027

$49,062 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2005, has faced recurring retirement speculation tied to his tenure length, health considerations, and the opportunity for a Republican president to appoint a successor while the Senate remains under GOP control. An erroneous NPR report in late June 2026 briefly intensified rumors after the Supreme Court term ended, but the outlet quickly retracted it following confirmation from the Court that no announcement had been made. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, Alito directly stated he is “here for another term,” pushing back on pressure from some conservatives concerned about midterm Senate risks. The new Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or other procedural triggers for a vacancy. Trader sentiment reflects these statements and the absence of any official signals, though age-related timing remains a structural factor in long-term assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,609,958
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito, age 76 and serving since 2005, has faced recurring retirement speculation tied to his tenure length, health considerations, and the opportunity for a Republican president to appoint a successor while the Senate remains under GOP control. An erroneous NPR report in late June 2026 briefly intensified rumors after the Supreme Court term ended, but the outlet quickly retracted it following confirmation from the Court that no announcement had been made. In an August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview, Alito directly stated he is “here for another term,” pushing back on pressure from some conservatives concerned about midterm Senate risks. The new Supreme Court term begins in October 2026, with no scheduled confirmation hearings or other procedural triggers for a vacancy. Trader sentiment reflects these statements and the absence of any official signals, though age-related timing remains a structural factor in long-term assessments.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,609,958
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Résolveur

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30 juin 2027 » à 35%, suivi de « 31 décembre » à 6%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 35¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » a généré $3.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 17, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » est « 30 juin 2027 » à 35%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 35% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 31 décembre » à 6%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Samuel Alito annoncera-t-il sa retraite d'ici… ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.