**Nakamura and Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field at 19% and 18.5% implied probability respectively because of their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round blitz Swiss, where Nakamura holds 90 career wins and Carlsen 37.** Recent September 1 results showed a razor-thin top end with Niemann, Duda, and Sarana all scoring 10/11, underscoring how tiebreaks, late-round pairings, and small edges decide outcomes among 400-plus titled entrants. The broad distribution of 4.5–7% probabilities across Erigaisi, Lazavik, Firouzja, Movahed, and dozens more reflects the event’s inherent variance: strong recent form, rating edges, and home preparation matter, yet any GM can post a near-perfect score on a given Tuesday. This depth keeps the race tightly bunched, as no single player has demonstrated consistent separation in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMagnus Carlsen 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Alireza Firouzja 12%
Aravindh Chithambaram 9%
Magnus Carlsen
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Alireza Firouzja
12%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Wesley So
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Sina Movahed
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
David Anton
2%
Haowen Xue
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Javokhir Sindarov
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
2%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
2%
Rudik Makarian
2%
Sam Sevian
2%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
2%
Vladislav Artemiev
2%
Ding Liren
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Aleksandr Shimanov
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
2%
Frederik Svane
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Nihal Sarin
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
2%
Wei Yi
2%
Magnus Carlsen 37%
Hikaru Nakamura 19%
Alireza Firouzja 12%
Aravindh Chithambaram 9%
Magnus Carlsen
37%
Hikaru Nakamura
19%
Alireza Firouzja
12%
Aravindh Chithambaram
9%
Andrey Esipenko
9%
Dau Khuong Duy
9%
Dincer Tasdogen
9%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
9%
Le Tuan Minh
9%
Matthias Bluebaum
9%
Nikolas Theodorou
9%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
9%
Renato Terry Lujan
9%
Rasmus Svane
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Christopher Yoo
9%
Alexander Grischuk
9%
Benjamin Bok
9%
Dmitry Andreikin
9%
Faustino Oro
9%
Pranesh Munirethinam
9%
Wesley So
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Denis Lazavik
7%
Sina Movahed
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
2%
David Anton
2%
Haowen Xue
2%
Jose Martinez
2%
Jules Moussard
2%
Javokhir Sindarov
2%
Levon Aronian
2%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
2%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
2%
Rudik Makarian
2%
Sam Sevian
2%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
2%
Vladislav Artemiev
2%
Ding Liren
2%
Awonder Liang
2%
Aleksandar Indjic
2%
Aleksandr Shimanov
2%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
2%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
2%
Frederik Svane
2%
Haik Martirosyan
2%
Nihal Sarin
2%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
2%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
2%
Wei Yi
2%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Source de résolution
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Nakamura and Carlsen lead the Titled Tuesday field at 19% and 18.5% implied probability respectively because of their unmatched historical dominance in the weekly 11-round blitz Swiss, where Nakamura holds 90 career wins and Carlsen 37.** Recent September 1 results showed a razor-thin top end with Niemann, Duda, and Sarana all scoring 10/11, underscoring how tiebreaks, late-round pairings, and small edges decide outcomes among 400-plus titled entrants. The broad distribution of 4.5–7% probabilities across Erigaisi, Lazavik, Firouzja, Movahed, and dozens more reflects the event’s inherent variance: strong recent form, rating edges, and home preparation matter, yet any GM can post a near-perfect score on a given Tuesday. This depth keeps the race tightly bunched, as no single player has demonstrated consistent separation in the current cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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