Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district race, backed by the seat's strong Republican lean, her consistent fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Democratic nominee Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, and prior general election margins near 78%. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 presidential margin underscore the structural advantage for the GOP, with Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Burke prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the November 3 general as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow margins in this heavily Republican northeast Tennessee district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTN-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TN-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
3%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Diana Harshbarger (R)
$21,678 Vol.
98%
Kristi Burke (D)
$5,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district race, backed by the seat's strong Republican lean, her consistent fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Democratic nominee Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, and prior general election margins near 78%. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 presidential margin underscore the structural advantage for the GOP, with Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Burke prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the November 3 general as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow margins in this heavily Republican northeast Tennessee district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,113Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district race, backed by the seat's strong Republican lean, her consistent fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Democratic nominee Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, and prior general election margins near 78%. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 presidential margin underscore the structural advantage for the GOP, with Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Burke prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the November 3 general as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow margins in this heavily Republican northeast Tennessee district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,113Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger holds a commanding position in Tennessee's 1st congressional district race, backed by the seat's strong Republican lean, her consistent fundraising edge exceeding $1.2 million compared to Democratic nominee Kristi Burke's roughly $100,000, and prior general election margins near 78%. The district's Partisan Voter Index of R+29 and Donald Trump's 29.5-point 2024 presidential margin underscore the structural advantage for the GOP, with Harshbarger advancing unopposed through the August 2026 Republican primary while Burke prevailed in a low-turnout Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the November 3 general as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen scandals could theoretically narrow margins in this heavily Republican northeast Tennessee district.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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