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icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

icon for Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place

Ronaldo Dimas 39%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%

Gaguim 37%

Professor Osvaldo 37%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Ronaldo Dimas 39%

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 38%

Gaguim 37%

Professor Osvaldo 37%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$41 Vol.

39%

icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$41 Vol.

38%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$41 Vol.

37%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$41 Vol.

37%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$41 Vol.

36%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$41 Vol.

36%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$41 Vol.

32%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$41 Vol.

25%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$41 Vol.

24%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$41 Vol.

23%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$41 Vol.

21%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$41 Vol.

20%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$41 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$533
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a fragmented field for Tocantins' two Federal Senate seats, with Eduardo Gomes (PL) holding a narrow lead around 31% in stimulated scenarios while Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (UNIÃO) trail closely behind; this aligns with trader pricing that keeps multiple candidates in contention near 40-45%. Candidate registrations finalized after August conventions added names such as Apóstolo Flavio Braga, Osvany Luz, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo, further diluting support and preventing any single contender from consolidating early momentum. The October 4 election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by party alliances, regional turnout patterns in the North, and potential late endorsements or debates that could separate the top vote-getters in this multi-candidate contest.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$533
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Gaguim remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

Gaguim remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Tocantins en 2026 ?

41%
Oui
icon for Sebastião Coelho remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

Sebastião Coelho remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 dans le District fédéral ?

45%
Oui
icon for Will Marcos Dorval win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

Will Marcos Dorval win the most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?

40%

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 13 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Eduardo Gomes » à 41%, suivi de « Ronaldo Dimas » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place », parcourez les 13 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » est « Eduardo Gomes » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ronaldo Dimas » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection sénatoriale de Tocantins : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.