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icon for Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ?
Politique·Us House

Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ?

icon for Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ?
Politique·Us House

Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ?

Oui

36% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Oui

36% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence from March onward, during which he missed over 140 House votes while hospitalized for depression treatment.** He publicly disclosed the diagnosis on the House floor, described his recovery as ongoing but successful, and stated he was “healthier, stronger, and excited to return to the work that I love.” Since then, the New Jersey Republican (NJ-7) has resumed official duties and campaign activity, including a late-August 2026 event in Warren County joined by House Speaker Mike Johnson. He won his June primary unopposed and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election for a seat he has held since 2023. No announcements, party pressures, or reports have emerged suggesting resignation, retirement, or departure before the current term ends in January 2027. These factors—verified return, continued service, and active reelection bid—support trader consensus favoring the “No” outcome at the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Tom Kean Jr. returned to Congress on June 30, 2026, after a roughly four-month absence from March onward, during which he missed over 140 House votes while hospitalized for depression treatment.** He publicly disclosed the diagnosis on the House floor, described his recovery as ongoing but successful, and stated he was “healthier, stronger, and excited to return to the work that I love.” Since then, the New Jersey Republican (NJ-7) has resumed official duties and campaign activity, including a late-August 2026 event in Warren County joined by House Speaker Mike Johnson. He won his June primary unopposed and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November general election for a seat he has held since 2023. No announcements, party pressures, or reports have emerged suggesting resignation, retirement, or departure before the current term ends in January 2027. These factors—verified return, continued service, and active reelection bid—support trader consensus favoring the “No” outcome at the current implied probability.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69
Date de fin
3 janv. 2027
Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Tom Kean Jr. quittera-t-il son poste de représentant américain avant la fin de son mandat ? » à 36%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ? » est « Tom Kean Jr. quittera-t-il son poste de représentant américain avant la fin de son mandat ? » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Tom Kean Jr. sorti en tant que représentant américain avant la fin du mandat ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.