Tom Kean Jr., the Republican incumbent in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment and has since resumed legislative work and active campaigning. He secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November midterms in a competitive seat. No announcements, Senate confirmation prospects, health updates, or party pressures indicate an early departure before the current term concludes in January 2027. Recent campaign activity, including fundraisers and public events through August, reinforces trader expectations that Kean will complete his term, supporting the 72.5% implied probability on “No.”
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
30% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 janv. 2027
Oui
30% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 janv. 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr., the Republican incumbent in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment and has since resumed legislative work and active campaigning. He secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November midterms in a competitive seat. No announcements, Senate confirmation prospects, health updates, or party pressures indicate an early departure before the current term concludes in January 2027. Recent campaign activity, including fundraisers and public events through August, reinforces trader expectations that Kean will complete his term, supporting the 72.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$69Date de fin
3 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tom Kean Jr., the Republican incumbent in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment and has since resumed legislative work and active campaigning. He secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November midterms in a competitive seat. No announcements, Senate confirmation prospects, health updates, or party pressures indicate an early departure before the current term concludes in January 2027. Recent campaign activity, including fundraisers and public events through August, reinforces trader expectations that Kean will complete his term, supporting the 72.5% implied probability on “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Thomas Kean Jr. ceases to be United States Representative from New Jersey's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the regularly scheduled end of his term in the current Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Kean's early resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Thomas Kean Jr. and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$69Date de fin
3 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jul 1, 2026, 5:02 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Tom Kean Jr., the Republican incumbent in New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, returned to the House floor in late June 2026 after a four-month medical absence tied to depression treatment and has since resumed legislative work and active campaigning. He secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the June primary and faces Democrat Rebecca Bennett in the November midterms in a competitive seat. No announcements, Senate confirmation prospects, health updates, or party pressures indicate an early departure before the current term concludes in January 2027. Recent campaign activity, including fundraisers and public events through August, reinforces trader expectations that Kean will complete his term, supporting the 72.5% implied probability on “No.”
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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