Polymarket traders are split nearly evenly across Tesla (TSLA) closing price bins for the week of March 23, reflecting tight market-implied odds around $370-$390 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is anticipation of Q1 vehicle delivery figures, due early April, with Wall Street consensus at 420,000-450,000 units versus last year's 423,000—any beat could propel shares above $400 via renewed EV demand optimism, while a miss risks sub-$360 on intensifying competition from BYD and softening US incentives. Recent tailwinds include surging energy storage deployments (10.4 GWh in Q4), Cybertruck production ramp to 1,000/week, and FSD v12 software hype, but offset by high interest rates curbing auto financing and China sales weakness. Key differentiator: Elon Musk's X commentary on autonomy timelines, which historically sways trader consensus by 5-10% intraday. Watch Friday's close versus $382 resistance for breakout signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<$360 98%
$360-$365 98%
$365-$370 98%
$370-$375 98%
<$360
98%
$360-$365
98%
$365-$370
98%
$370-$375
98%
$375-$380
98%
$380-$385
98%
$385-$390
98%
$390-$395
98%
$395-$400
98%
$400-$405
98%
>$405
97%
<$360 98%
$360-$365 98%
$365-$370 98%
$370-$375 98%
<$360
98%
$360-$365
98%
$365-$370
98%
$370-$375
98%
$375-$380
98%
$380-$385
98%
$385-$390
98%
$390-$395
98%
$395-$400
98%
$400-$405
98%
>$405
97%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders are split nearly evenly across Tesla (TSLA) closing price bins for the week of March 23, reflecting tight market-implied odds around $370-$390 amid balanced bullish and bearish forces. The primary catalyst is anticipation of Q1 vehicle delivery figures, due early April, with Wall Street consensus at 420,000-450,000 units versus last year's 423,000—any beat could propel shares above $400 via renewed EV demand optimism, while a miss risks sub-$360 on intensifying competition from BYD and softening US incentives. Recent tailwinds include surging energy storage deployments (10.4 GWh in Q4), Cybertruck production ramp to 1,000/week, and FSD v12 software hype, but offset by high interest rates curbing auto financing and China sales weakness. Key differentiator: Elon Musk's X commentary on autonomy timelines, which historically sways trader consensus by 5-10% intraday. Watch Friday's close versus $382 resistance for breakout signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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