Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shares will close above the threshold for the week ending March 29, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 delivery figures due early April, which could signal demand recovery amid softening China sales reported at 30.7K units in Feb versus expectations. TSLA trades at $248 after a 5% weekly gain, buoyed by FSD software update hype and Cybertruck ramp-up to 1,500/wk production, though macro headwinds from persistent 4.2% CPI and Fed's March 19 FOMC dot plot loom large. Volatility (implied 55%) underscores risks from Elon Musk's X commentary or supply chain snags, with $260 resistance key for bulls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour350 $
80%
355 $
73%
360 $
67%
365 $
59%
370 $
50%
375 $
41%
380 $
33%
385 $
29%
390 $
22%
395 $
20%
400 $
19%
$405
16%
410 $
13%
$0.00 Vol.
350 $
80%
355 $
73%
360 $
67%
365 $
59%
370 $
50%
375 $
41%
380 $
33%
385 $
29%
390 $
22%
395 $
20%
400 $
19%
$405
16%
410 $
13%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a [X]% probability that Tesla (TSLA) shares will close above the threshold for the week ending March 29, driven primarily by anticipation of Q1 delivery figures due early April, which could signal demand recovery amid softening China sales reported at 30.7K units in Feb versus expectations. TSLA trades at $248 after a 5% weekly gain, buoyed by FSD software update hype and Cybertruck ramp-up to 1,500/wk production, though macro headwinds from persistent 4.2% CPI and Fed's March 19 FOMC dot plot loom large. Volatility (implied 55%) underscores risks from Elon Musk's X commentary or supply chain snags, with $260 resistance key for bulls.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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