Trader consensus on Polymarket reveals razor-thin implied probabilities of 49.5% for Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $3.00-$4.00, $4.00-$5.00, $5.00-$6.00, or $6.00-$7.00 ranges, with $2.00-$3.00 at 48.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the beaten-down iBuyer stock, currently hovering near $1.40 amid persistent high mortgage rates curbing transaction volumes. Primary drivers include anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts boosting housing sentiment, Opendoor's aggressive cost reductions targeting profitability by mid-2025, and improving inventory levels per recent NAR data. Key differentiators hinge on Q1 earnings previews and March home sales figures, with real-money bets evenly split as traders weigh macroeconomic tailwinds against ongoing margin pressures and competitive threats from Zillow and Redfin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour3,00 $-4,00 $ 99%
4,00 $-5,00 $ 99%
5,00 $-6,00 $ 99%
6,00 $-7,00 $ 99%
<1,00 $
80%
1,00 $ - 2,00 $
79%
2,00 $–3,00 $
97%
3,00 $-4,00 $
99%
4,00 $-5,00 $
99%
5,00 $-6,00 $
99%
6,00 $-7,00 $
99%
7,00 $-8,00 $
80%
8,00 $-9,00 $
80%
9,00 $-10 $
80%
>10 $
80%
3,00 $-4,00 $ 99%
4,00 $-5,00 $ 99%
5,00 $-6,00 $ 99%
6,00 $-7,00 $ 99%
<1,00 $
80%
1,00 $ - 2,00 $
79%
2,00 $–3,00 $
97%
3,00 $-4,00 $
99%
4,00 $-5,00 $
99%
5,00 $-6,00 $
99%
6,00 $-7,00 $
99%
7,00 $-8,00 $
80%
8,00 $-9,00 $
80%
9,00 $-10 $
80%
>10 $
80%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reveals razor-thin implied probabilities of 49.5% for Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $3.00-$4.00, $4.00-$5.00, $5.00-$6.00, or $6.00-$7.00 ranges, with $2.00-$3.00 at 48.5%, underscoring high uncertainty in the beaten-down iBuyer stock, currently hovering near $1.40 amid persistent high mortgage rates curbing transaction volumes. Primary drivers include anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts boosting housing sentiment, Opendoor's aggressive cost reductions targeting profitability by mid-2025, and improving inventory levels per recent NAR data. Key differentiators hinge on Q1 earnings previews and March home sales figures, with real-money bets evenly split as traders weigh macroeconomic tailwinds against ongoing margin pressures and competitive threats from Zillow and Redfin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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