Texas redistricting shifted the 32nd Congressional District into Republican-leaning territory with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and leaving an open race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican primary voters consolidated behind nominee Jace Yarbrough after rivals withdrew, avoiding a runoff in the March contest. These map changes and unified GOP nomination have anchored trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3, 2026, while the Democratic path remains constrained by the district's altered electorate and limited recent polling signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre TX-32
$26,258 Vol.
$26,258 Vol.
Parti républicain
73%
Parti démocrate
22%
$26,258 Vol.
$26,258 Vol.
Parti républicain
73%
Parti démocrate
22%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas redistricting shifted the 32nd Congressional District into Republican-leaning territory with an R+8 partisan voting index, prompting Democratic incumbent Julie Johnson to seek another seat and leaving an open race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican primary voters consolidated behind nominee Jace Yarbrough after rivals withdrew, avoiding a runoff in the March contest. These map changes and unified GOP nomination have anchored trader consensus around a Republican general-election victory on November 3, 2026, while the Democratic path remains constrained by the district's altered electorate and limited recent polling signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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