The Trump administration has expanded federal equity stakes in strategic sectors through CHIPS Act incentives and Defense Department programs, now totaling roughly 30 companies and approaching $30 billion since early 2025. Recent closures include a 10% stake in Trilogy Metals finalized in September 2026 and minority positions in Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum tied to quantum funding. These moves prioritize domestic semiconductor, critical minerals, and quantum supply chains to address national security concerns. Commerce and Defense lead the activity, often conditioning grants or loans on non-controlling ownership. Trader probabilities reflect this established pattern, with elevated odds for additional quantum and chip firms while lower odds attach to unrelated sectors absent new announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$185,342 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
Rigetti
97%
D-Wave
97%
GlobalFoundries
96%
Unusual Machines
29%
TSMC
17%
Micron
16%
IonQ
15%
Lockheed Martin
22%
Nvidia
15%
Anduril
14%
OpenAI
13%
Freeport-McMoRan
11%
Eli Lilly
10%
SpaceX
10%
Boeing
10%
Anthropic
9%
Palantir
6%
Samsung Electronics
4%
Pfizer
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
4%
$185,342 Vol.
Rigetti
$26,780 Vol.
97%
D-Wave
$5,250 Vol.
97%
GlobalFoundries
$9,052 Vol.
96%
Unusual Machines
$211 Vol.
29%
TSMC
$15,496 Vol.
17%
Micron
$2,014 Vol.
16%
IonQ
$2,727 Vol.
15%
Lockheed Martin
$2,589 Vol.
22%
Nvidia
$16,016 Vol.
15%
Anduril
$43,588 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$10,885 Vol.
13%
Freeport-McMoRan
$3,295 Vol.
11%
Eli Lilly
$3,126 Vol.
10%
SpaceX
$58 Vol.
10%
Boeing
$10,369 Vol.
10%
Anthropic
$6,618 Vol.
9%
Palantir
$4,146 Vol.
6%
Samsung Electronics
$10,347 Vol.
4%
Pfizer
$6,364 Vol.
4%
TikTok US / Bytedance
$6,412 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded federal equity stakes in strategic sectors through CHIPS Act incentives and Defense Department programs, now totaling roughly 30 companies and approaching $30 billion since early 2025. Recent closures include a 10% stake in Trilogy Metals finalized in September 2026 and minority positions in Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum tied to quantum funding. These moves prioritize domestic semiconductor, critical minerals, and quantum supply chains to address national security concerns. Commerce and Defense lead the activity, often conditioning grants or loans on non-controlling ownership. Trader probabilities reflect this established pattern, with elevated odds for additional quantum and chip firms while lower odds attach to unrelated sectors absent new announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volume
$185,342Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g., a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements that do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration has expanded federal equity stakes in strategic sectors through CHIPS Act incentives and Defense Department programs, now totaling roughly 30 companies and approaching $30 billion since early 2025. Recent closures include a 10% stake in Trilogy Metals finalized in September 2026 and minority positions in Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum tied to quantum funding. These moves prioritize domestic semiconductor, critical minerals, and quantum supply chains to address national security concerns. Commerce and Defense lead the activity, often conditioning grants or loans on non-controlling ownership. Trader probabilities reflect this established pattern, with elevated odds for additional quantum and chip firms while lower odds attach to unrelated sectors absent new announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$185,342Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 3, 2026, 10:38 AM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has expanded federal equity stakes in strategic sectors through CHIPS Act incentives and Defense Department programs, now totaling roughly 30 companies and approaching $30 billion since early 2025. Recent closures include a 10% stake in Trilogy Metals finalized in September 2026 and minority positions in Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantinuum tied to quantum funding. These moves prioritize domestic semiconductor, critical minerals, and quantum supply chains to address national security concerns. Commerce and Defense lead the activity, often conditioning grants or loans on non-controlling ownership. Trader probabilities reflect this established pattern, with elevated odds for additional quantum and chip firms while lower odds attach to unrelated sectors absent new announcements before the December 31, 2026 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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