Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$17,495,697 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Benjamin Netanyahu
No
Pete Hegseth
No
Any U.S. House member
No
Any U.S. Senator
No
JD Vance
No
Marco Rubio
No
Donald Trump
No
Jared Kushner
No
$17,495,697 Vol.
Benjamin Netanyahu
$12,086,752 Vol.
No
Pete Hegseth
$225,781 Vol.
No
Any U.S. House member
$151,876 Vol.
No
Any U.S. Senator
$1,286,780 Vol.
No
JD Vance
$2,642,065 Vol.
No
Marco Rubio
$100,248 Vol.
No
Donald Trump
$128,389 Vol.
No
Jared Kushner
$873,805 Vol.
No
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volume
$17,495,697Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$17,495,697Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ongoing US-Iran tensions and airstrikes since late February 2026 have centered on military targets, with recent American strikes in early June hitting surveillance, communications, and air-defense sites. Negotiations produced a draft memorandum announced June 14, with electronic signing reported and a formal agreement expected around June 19 in Switzerland to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and address nuclear issues. No ground operations or official visits by US congressional members, Trump administration figures, or other listed individuals have occurred or been scheduled inside Iran. The market reflects trader consensus on the low probability of any physical entry by the deadline amid active diplomacy and the absence of invasion plans.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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