Traders assign near-certainty to the outcome that Donald Trump will not insult Xi Jinping this week, reflecting the current diplomatic posture between the United States and China. Ongoing bilateral trade discussions and strategic communications have emphasized restraint rather than public confrontation, consistent with patterns seen during periods of active negotiations. This consensus among prediction market participants incorporates skin-in-the-game assessments of recent statements and scheduled engagements. Even with such elevated implied probability, late-breaking developments such as an unexpected public remark, escalation in tariff talks, or a diplomatic incident could still alter the result before the week concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump va-t-il insulter Xi cette semaine ?
Trump va-t-il insulter Xi cette semaine ?
Oui
$459,253 Vol.
$459,253 Vol.
22 mai 2026
Oui
$459,253 Vol.
$459,253 Vol.
22 mai 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign near-certainty to the outcome that Donald Trump will not insult Xi Jinping this week, reflecting the current diplomatic posture between the United States and China. Ongoing bilateral trade discussions and strategic communications have emphasized restraint rather than public confrontation, consistent with patterns seen during periods of active negotiations. This consensus among prediction market participants incorporates skin-in-the-game assessments of recent statements and scheduled engagements. Even with such elevated implied probability, late-breaking developments such as an unexpected public remark, escalation in tariff talks, or a diplomatic incident could still alter the result before the week concludes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$459,253Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign near-certainty to the outcome that Donald Trump will not insult Xi Jinping this week, reflecting the current diplomatic posture between the United States and China. Ongoing bilateral trade discussions and strategic communications have emphasized restraint rather than public confrontation, consistent with patterns seen during periods of active negotiations. This consensus among prediction market participants incorporates skin-in-the-game assessments of recent statements and scheduled engagements. Even with such elevated implied probability, late-breaking developments such as an unexpected public remark, escalation in tariff talks, or a diplomatic incident could still alter the result before the week concludes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks XI Jinping personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$459,253Date de fin
22 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 11, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Traders assign near-certainty to the outcome that Donald Trump will not insult Xi Jinping this week, reflecting the current diplomatic posture between the United States and China. Ongoing bilateral trade discussions and strategic communications have emphasized restraint rather than public confrontation, consistent with patterns seen during periods of active negotiations. This consensus among prediction market participants incorporates skin-in-the-game assessments of recent statements and scheduled engagements. Even with such elevated implied probability, late-breaking developments such as an unexpected public remark, escalation in tariff talks, or a diplomatic incident could still alter the result before the week concludes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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