The tight race for World Cup Group D honors reflects a balanced pool where the United States and Türkiye sit nearly level in implied probability. Co-host USA benefits from home support and depth but showed defensive vulnerabilities in recent friendlies, while Türkiye brings strong momentum after ending a 24-year absence with playoff success and attacking talent. Paraguay and Australia trail as competitive underdogs, with solid qualifying records and familiarity from prior matches against the top two, creating a scenario where any result among the four can shift outcomes in the June group stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉtats-Unis 39%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australie 9.8%
$74,241 Vol.
$74,241 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
19%
Australie
10%
États-Unis 39%
Turquie 36%
Paraguay 19%
Australie 9.8%
$74,241 Vol.
$74,241 Vol.
États-Unis
39%
Turquie
36%
Paraguay
19%
Australie
10%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tight race for World Cup Group D honors reflects a balanced pool where the United States and Türkiye sit nearly level in implied probability. Co-host USA benefits from home support and depth but showed defensive vulnerabilities in recent friendlies, while Türkiye brings strong momentum after ending a 24-year absence with playoff success and attacking talent. Paraguay and Australia trail as competitive underdogs, with solid qualifying records and familiarity from prior matches against the top two, creating a scenario where any result among the four can shift outcomes in the June group stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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