France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming favorite due to its status as two-time defending champions with superior squad depth, experience at major tournaments, and standout attackers including Kylian Mbappé. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and the team’s dominant qualifying campaign that secured direct qualification. Senegal trails as a capable African side with strong recent form and a history of challenging top European teams, while Iraq remains a distant outsider returning after decades away and facing the steepest challenge against higher-ranked opposition. The group’s competitive balance and early fixtures, including France versus Senegal, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the June 16 opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourFrance 69%
Norvège 22%
Sénégal 11%
Irak 1.1%
$191,141 Vol.
$191,141 Vol.
27 juin 2026
France
69%
Norvège
22%
Sénégal
11%
Irak
1%
France 69%
Norvège 22%
Sénégal 11%
Irak 1.1%
$191,141 Vol.
$191,141 Vol.
27 juin 2026
France
$85,410 Vol.
69%
Norvège
$25,968 Vol.
22%
Sénégal
$25,446 Vol.
11%
Irak
$54,317 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming favorite due to its status as two-time defending champions with superior squad depth, experience at major tournaments, and standout attackers including Kylian Mbappé. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and the team’s dominant qualifying campaign that secured direct qualification. Senegal trails as a capable African side with strong recent form and a history of challenging top European teams, while Iraq remains a distant outsider returning after decades away and facing the steepest challenge against higher-ranked opposition. The group’s competitive balance and early fixtures, including France versus Senegal, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the June 16 opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volume
$191,141Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming favorite due to its status as two-time defending champions with superior squad depth, experience at major tournaments, and standout attackers including Kylian Mbappé. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and the team’s dominant qualifying campaign that secured direct qualification. Senegal trails as a capable African side with strong recent form and a history of challenging top European teams, while Iraq remains a distant outsider returning after decades away and facing the steepest challenge against higher-ranked opposition. The group’s competitive balance and early fixtures, including France versus Senegal, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the June 16 opener.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$191,141Date de fin
27 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters 2026 World Cup Group I as the overwhelming favorite due to its status as two-time defending champions with superior squad depth, experience at major tournaments, and standout attackers including Kylian Mbappé. Norway sits second in trader consensus thanks to Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and the team’s dominant qualifying campaign that secured direct qualification. Senegal trails as a capable African side with strong recent form and a history of challenging top European teams, while Iraq remains a distant outsider returning after decades away and facing the steepest challenge against higher-ranked opposition. The group’s competitive balance and early fixtures, including France versus Senegal, underpin the current implied probabilities ahead of the June 16 opener.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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