Redistricting in Alabama has shifted the 2nd Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, with analysts assigning it a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage of R+7 and ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced through his party's process but faces Republican state Representative Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with 50 percent of the vote and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Recent internal polling from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shows the candidates statistically tied at 46 percent each among likely voters, though the district's altered boundaries and historical voting patterns have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent. The November 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger, with turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment among key blocs likely to influence final positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,595 वॉल्यूम
$39,595 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,595 वॉल्यूम
$39,595 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$20,306 वॉल्यूम
75%
Democratic Party
$19,289 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Alabama has shifted the 2nd Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, with analysts assigning it a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage of R+7 and ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced through his party's process but faces Republican state Representative Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with 50 percent of the vote and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Recent internal polling from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shows the candidates statistically tied at 46 percent each among likely voters, though the district's altered boundaries and historical voting patterns have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent. The November 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger, with turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment among key blocs likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,595समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Alabama has shifted the 2nd Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, with analysts assigning it a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage of R+7 and ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced through his party's process but faces Republican state Representative Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with 50 percent of the vote and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Recent internal polling from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shows the candidates statistically tied at 46 percent each among likely voters, though the district's altered boundaries and historical voting patterns have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent. The November 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger, with turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment among key blocs likely to influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$39,595समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in Alabama has shifted the 2nd Congressional District toward a more Republican-leaning profile, with analysts assigning it a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage of R+7 and ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures advanced through his party's process but faces Republican state Representative Rhett Marques, who secured the GOP nomination in the August 11 special primary with 50 percent of the vote and holds an endorsement from President Trump. Recent internal polling from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee shows the candidates statistically tied at 46 percent each among likely voters, though the district's altered boundaries and historical voting patterns have produced trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome at 74.5 percent. The November 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger, with turnout patterns and any late shifts in voter sentiment among key blocs likely to influence final positioning.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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