Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) dominates trader consensus at 92% implied probability to hold Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, bolstered by his 22-year tenure, recent Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising lead—over $2.3 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing underfunded veteran Lee McInnis unopposed, underscoring minimal general election competition in this district where Rogers won 98% in 2024. With the Republican primary looming May 19 against low-resource challenger Terri LaPoint, odds reflect historical base rates of incumbent retention in safe seats; shifts would require a primary upset, scandal, health event, or national wave altering turnout dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाAL -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
AL -03 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$14,932 वॉल्यूम
$14,932 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
9%
$14,932 वॉल्यूम
$14,932 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$8,192 वॉल्यूम
92%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$6,741 वॉल्यूम
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) dominates trader consensus at 92% implied probability to hold Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, bolstered by his 22-year tenure, recent Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising lead—over $2.3 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing underfunded veteran Lee McInnis unopposed, underscoring minimal general election competition in this district where Rogers won 98% in 2024. With the Republican primary looming May 19 against low-resource challenger Terri LaPoint, odds reflect historical base rates of incumbent retention in safe seats; shifts would require a primary upset, scandal, health event, or national wave altering turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$14,932समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) dominates trader consensus at 92% implied probability to hold Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, bolstered by his 22-year tenure, recent Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising lead—over $2.3 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing underfunded veteran Lee McInnis unopposed, underscoring minimal general election competition in this district where Rogers won 98% in 2024. With the Republican primary looming May 19 against low-resource challenger Terri LaPoint, odds reflect historical base rates of incumbent retention in safe seats; shifts would require a primary upset, scandal, health event, or national wave altering turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$14,932समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Rogers (R) dominates trader consensus at 92% implied probability to hold Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+23, bolstered by his 22-year tenure, recent Trump endorsement, and overwhelming fundraising lead—over $2.3 million cash on hand versus challengers' negligible totals. The Democratic primary was canceled, advancing underfunded veteran Lee McInnis unopposed, underscoring minimal general election competition in this district where Rogers won 98% in 2024. With the Republican primary looming May 19 against low-resource challenger Terri LaPoint, odds reflect historical base rates of incumbent retention in safe seats; shifts would require a primary upset, scandal, health event, or national wave altering turnout dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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