Trader consensus that Apple will not release a Vision Pro 2 spatial computing headset before 2027 reflects consistent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in mid-2026. Apple has paused active development on a true successor after the 2025 M5 refresh, redirecting engineers to prioritize lighter smart glasses targeted for late 2027 while addressing the original model's weight and cost barriers through a fundamental redesign likely involving an external compute puck. The cheaper Vision Air variant was canceled outright. With the category described as "on ice," the earliest credible window sits in late 2028 or 2029. A sudden component breakthrough or strategic reversal could theoretically compress timelines, though no such signals have emerged.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाApple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
4% संभावना
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
4% संभावना
नया
नया
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus that Apple will not release a Vision Pro 2 spatial computing headset before 2027 reflects consistent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in mid-2026. Apple has paused active development on a true successor after the 2025 M5 refresh, redirecting engineers to prioritize lighter smart glasses targeted for late 2027 while addressing the original model's weight and cost barriers through a fundamental redesign likely involving an external compute puck. The cheaper Vision Air variant was canceled outright. With the category described as "on ice," the earliest credible window sits in late 2028 or 2029. A sudden component breakthrough or strategic reversal could theoretically compress timelines, though no such signals have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$6,272समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus that Apple will not release a Vision Pro 2 spatial computing headset before 2027 reflects consistent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in mid-2026. Apple has paused active development on a true successor after the 2025 M5 refresh, redirecting engineers to prioritize lighter smart glasses targeted for late 2027 while addressing the original model's weight and cost barriers through a fundamental redesign likely involving an external compute puck. The cheaper Vision Air variant was canceled outright. With the category described as "on ice," the earliest credible window sits in late 2028 or 2029. A sudden component breakthrough or strategic reversal could theoretically compress timelines, though no such signals have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$6,272समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus that Apple will not release a Vision Pro 2 spatial computing headset before 2027 reflects consistent reporting from Bloomberg's Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo in mid-2026. Apple has paused active development on a true successor after the 2025 M5 refresh, redirecting engineers to prioritize lighter smart glasses targeted for late 2027 while addressing the original model's weight and cost barriers through a fundamental redesign likely involving an external compute puck. The cheaper Vision Air variant was canceled outright. With the category described as "on ice," the earliest credible window sits in late 2028 or 2029. A sudden component breakthrough or strategic reversal could theoretically compress timelines, though no such signals have emerged.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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