Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district race for the November 2026 general election. The Bay Area district, encompassing much of San Mateo County and parts of southeastern San Francisco, has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with Mullin securing 73 percent in 2024. Primary results advanced Mullin and Republican Charles Hoelter to the general ballot, reflecting limited opposition and strong party registration advantages. Trader consensus prices reflect the seat's structural lean and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that typically precede shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or national political realignment could narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar safe districts show few realistic paths for the Republican nominee to close the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -15 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -15 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$121,667 वॉल्यूम
$121,667 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
3%
$121,667 वॉल्यूम
$121,667 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$93,610 वॉल्यूम
95%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$28,057 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district race for the November 2026 general election. The Bay Area district, encompassing much of San Mateo County and parts of southeastern San Francisco, has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with Mullin securing 73 percent in 2024. Primary results advanced Mullin and Republican Charles Hoelter to the general ballot, reflecting limited opposition and strong party registration advantages. Trader consensus prices reflect the seat's structural lean and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that typically precede shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or national political realignment could narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar safe districts show few realistic paths for the Republican nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$121,667समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district race for the November 2026 general election. The Bay Area district, encompassing much of San Mateo County and parts of southeastern San Francisco, has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with Mullin securing 73 percent in 2024. Primary results advanced Mullin and Republican Charles Hoelter to the general ballot, reflecting limited opposition and strong party registration advantages. Trader consensus prices reflect the seat's structural lean and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that typically precede shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or national political realignment could narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar safe districts show few realistic paths for the Republican nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$121,667समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kevin Mullin holds a commanding position in California's 15th congressional district race for the November 2026 general election. The Bay Area district, encompassing much of San Mateo County and parts of southeastern San Francisco, has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with Mullin securing 73 percent in 2024. Primary results advanced Mullin and Republican Charles Hoelter to the general ballot, reflecting limited opposition and strong party registration advantages. Trader consensus prices reflect the seat's structural lean and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals that typically precede shifts. A major scandal, unexpected health event for the incumbent, or national political realignment could narrow margins, though historical patterns in similar safe districts show few realistic paths for the Republican nominee to close the gap.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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