Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 15th congressional district with a commanding share of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 25 points, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic nominee above 95 percent. Low Republican fundraising and absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this San Francisco Bay Area seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाCA -15 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
CA -15 हाउस इलेक्शन विनर
$117,370 वॉल्यूम
$117,370 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
4%
$117,370 वॉल्यूम
$117,370 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$92,679 वॉल्यूम
96%
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$24,692 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 15th congressional district with a commanding share of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 25 points, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic nominee above 95 percent. Low Republican fundraising and absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this San Francisco Bay Area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$117,370समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 15th congressional district with a commanding share of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 25 points, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic nominee above 95 percent. Low Republican fundraising and absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this San Francisco Bay Area seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$117,370समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kevin Mullin advanced from the June 2026 primary in California's 15th congressional district with a commanding share of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him to face Republican Charles Hoelter in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by more than 25 points, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins exceeding 30 points. Independent race ratings classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that prices the Democratic nominee above 95 percent. Low Republican fundraising and absence of competitive polling further reinforce the positioning. A shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national political realignment altering turnout patterns in this San Francisco Bay Area seat.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न