Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies the ECB Governing Council will hold key interest rates unchanged at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, with no change at 96.2%, reflecting the March 19 decision to maintain the deposit facility rate at 2% amid rising inflation to 2.5% in March from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 comments emphasized monitoring the eurozone economy—positioned between baseline and adverse scenarios—without committing to hikes, supported by modest GDP growth of 0.2% quarterly and core inflation at 2.3%. Realistic challenges include persistent inflation surges from geopolitical escalation prompting a hike, or abrupt economic downturn signals like weakening PMIs warranting a cut, though both remain low-probability absent new data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 96.2%
बढ़ोतरी 3.2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती <1%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$606,419 वॉल्यूम
$606,419 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
<1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
96%
बढ़ोतरी
3%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 96.2%
बढ़ोतरी 3.2%
25 बीपीएस कटौती <1%
50+ बीपीएस कटौती <1%
$606,419 वॉल्यूम
$606,419 वॉल्यूम
30 अप्रैल, 2026
50+ बीपीएस कटौती
$102,965 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 बीपीएस कटौती
$96,047 वॉल्यूम
<1%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$196,887 वॉल्यूम
96%
बढ़ोतरी
$210,540 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies the ECB Governing Council will hold key interest rates unchanged at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, with no change at 96.2%, reflecting the March 19 decision to maintain the deposit facility rate at 2% amid rising inflation to 2.5% in March from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 comments emphasized monitoring the eurozone economy—positioned between baseline and adverse scenarios—without committing to hikes, supported by modest GDP growth of 0.2% quarterly and core inflation at 2.3%. Realistic challenges include persistent inflation surges from geopolitical escalation prompting a hike, or abrupt economic downturn signals like weakening PMIs warranting a cut, though both remain low-probability absent new data.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$606,419समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies the ECB Governing Council will hold key interest rates unchanged at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, with no change at 96.2%, reflecting the March 19 decision to maintain the deposit facility rate at 2% amid rising inflation to 2.5% in March from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 comments emphasized monitoring the eurozone economy—positioned between baseline and adverse scenarios—without committing to hikes, supported by modest GDP growth of 0.2% quarterly and core inflation at 2.3%. Realistic challenges include persistent inflation surges from geopolitical escalation prompting a hike, or abrupt economic downturn signals like weakening PMIs warranting a cut, though both remain low-probability absent new data.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$606,419समाप्ति तिथि
30 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly implies the ECB Governing Council will hold key interest rates unchanged at the April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, with no change at 96.2%, reflecting the March 19 decision to maintain the deposit facility rate at 2% amid rising inflation to 2.5% in March from Middle East conflict-driven energy prices. ECB President Lagarde's April 14 comments emphasized monitoring the eurozone economy—positioned between baseline and adverse scenarios—without committing to hikes, supported by modest GDP growth of 0.2% quarterly and core inflation at 2.3%. Realistic challenges include persistent inflation surges from geopolitical escalation prompting a hike, or abrupt economic downturn signals like weakening PMIs warranting a cut, though both remain low-probability absent new data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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