Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin split for the ECB's June 2026 deposit facility rate decision, with no change at 49.0% implied probability edging out a 25 basis points increase at 45.5%, reflecting heated debate over persistent inflation pressures versus growth risks. March 2026 headline CPI flashed at 2.5%—up sharply from February's 1.9% on a 4.9% energy rebound amid Middle East war-driven oil surges—prompting the ECB's March 19 upward revision to 2.6% average inflation for 2026 and core at 2.3%. President Lagarde noted the eurozone economy slipping below baseline due to higher energy costs, stressing data-dependent responses without pre-commitment. Key swing factors include April 30 ECB meeting outcomes, April CPI release, wage trackers, and energy trajectory, with low 6.2% unemployment supporting hawkish bets but subdued 0.9% growth projections tempering hikes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
No change 49%
25 bps Increase 45%
50+ bps increase 3.5%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
$13,562 वॉल्यूम
$13,562 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
2%
No change
49%
25 bps Increase
45%
50+ bps increase
3%
No change 49%
25 bps Increase 45%
50+ bps increase 3.5%
25 bps decrease 2.3%
$13,562 वॉल्यूम
$13,562 वॉल्यूम
11 जून, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$2,375 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25 bps decrease
$2,122 वॉल्यूम
2%
No change
$2,918 वॉल्यूम
49%
25 bps Increase
$3,022 वॉल्यूम
45%
50+ bps increase
$3,125 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin split for the ECB's June 2026 deposit facility rate decision, with no change at 49.0% implied probability edging out a 25 basis points increase at 45.5%, reflecting heated debate over persistent inflation pressures versus growth risks. March 2026 headline CPI flashed at 2.5%—up sharply from February's 1.9% on a 4.9% energy rebound amid Middle East war-driven oil surges—prompting the ECB's March 19 upward revision to 2.6% average inflation for 2026 and core at 2.3%. President Lagarde noted the eurozone economy slipping below baseline due to higher energy costs, stressing data-dependent responses without pre-commitment. Key swing factors include April 30 ECB meeting outcomes, April CPI release, wage trackers, and energy trajectory, with low 6.2% unemployment supporting hawkish bets but subdued 0.9% growth projections tempering hikes.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,562समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin split for the ECB's June 2026 deposit facility rate decision, with no change at 49.0% implied probability edging out a 25 basis points increase at 45.5%, reflecting heated debate over persistent inflation pressures versus growth risks. March 2026 headline CPI flashed at 2.5%—up sharply from February's 1.9% on a 4.9% energy rebound amid Middle East war-driven oil surges—prompting the ECB's March 19 upward revision to 2.6% average inflation for 2026 and core at 2.3%. President Lagarde noted the eurozone economy slipping below baseline due to higher energy costs, stressing data-dependent responses without pre-commitment. Key swing factors include April 30 ECB meeting outcomes, April CPI release, wage trackers, and energy trajectory, with low 6.2% unemployment supporting hawkish bets but subdued 0.9% growth projections tempering hikes.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$13,562समाप्ति तिथि
11 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders' skin-in-the-game consensus prices a razor-thin split for the ECB's June 2026 deposit facility rate decision, with no change at 49.0% implied probability edging out a 25 basis points increase at 45.5%, reflecting heated debate over persistent inflation pressures versus growth risks. March 2026 headline CPI flashed at 2.5%—up sharply from February's 1.9% on a 4.9% energy rebound amid Middle East war-driven oil surges—prompting the ECB's March 19 upward revision to 2.6% average inflation for 2026 and core at 2.3%. President Lagarde noted the eurozone economy slipping below baseline due to higher energy costs, stressing data-dependent responses without pre-commitment. Key swing factors include April 30 ECB meeting outcomes, April CPI release, wage trackers, and energy trajectory, with low 6.2% unemployment supporting hawkish bets but subdued 0.9% growth projections tempering hikes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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