Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया9 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
9 सितंबर को ऑस्टिन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
102-103°F 2%
नया
नया
9 सित, 2026
87°F या उससे कम
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
60%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F या उससे अधिक
<1%
98-99°F 60%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 20%
102-103°F 2%
नया
नया
9 सित, 2026
87°F या उससे कम
$241 वॉल्यूम
<1%
88-89°F
$64 वॉल्यूम
<1%
90-91°F
$78 वॉल्यूम
1%
92-93°F
$69 वॉल्यूम
1%
94-95°F
$133 वॉल्यूम
1%
96-97°F
$132 वॉल्यूम
20%
98-99°F
$2,252 वॉल्यूम
60%
100-101°F
$495 वॉल्यूम
22%
102-103°F
$55 वॉल्यूम
2%
104-105°F
$38 वॉल्यूम
<1%
106°F या उससे अधिक
$177 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,734समाप्ति तिथि
9 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$3,734समाप्ति तिथि
9 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance for Austin on September 9 points to mostly sunny skies, light southerly flow, and daytime highs centered in the upper 90s, supporting the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 59.5% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-average soil moisture from prior weeks have maintained elevated temperatures well above the 1991-2020 climatological mean of 92.6°F, while limited afternoon cloud cover and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s allow strong diurnal heating without widespread convection. A few ensemble members and private forecasts edge slightly higher toward 100°F, consistent with the 21.5% probability on 100-101°F, but most runs cluster below that threshold. With the event less than 24 hours away, any last-minute shifts in steering winds or boundary-layer moisture will determine whether the final observed maximum settles in the 96-99°F range or pushes into the low 100s.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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