Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 30–32 °C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This narrow range underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 31 °C and 32 °C. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the peak by 1 °C, while model spread remains modest two days out. Updated CMA guidance and evening model runs on September 22 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 सितंबर को बीजिंग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
26°C या उससे कम
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
6%
36°C या उससे अधिक
7%
31°C 37%
32°C 34%
33°C 20%
30°C 13%
26°C या उससे कम
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
37%
32°C
30%
33°C
19%
34°C
6%
35°C
6%
36°C या उससे अधिक
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show a consensus maximum temperature of 30–32 °C for Beijing on September 23 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow. This narrow range underpins the tight market-implied odds favoring 31 °C and 32 °C. Subtle differences in afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island intensity can shift the peak by 1 °C, while model spread remains modest two days out. Updated CMA guidance and evening model runs on September 22 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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