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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?

26°C or higher 100.0%

16°C or below <1%

17°C <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$189,464 वॉल्यूम

26°C or higher 100.0%

16°C or below <1%

17°C <1%

18°C <1%

Polymarket

$189,464 वॉल्यूम

16°C or below

$2,282 वॉल्यूम

No

17°C

$6,301 वॉल्यूम

No

18°C

$671 वॉल्यूम

No

19°C

$1,242 वॉल्यूम

No

20°C

$2,219 वॉल्यूम

No

21°C

$4,390 वॉल्यूम

No

22°C

$10,486 वॉल्यूम

No

23°C

$16,474 वॉल्यूम

No

24°C

$43,144 वॉल्यूम

No

25°C

$25,433 वॉल्यूम

No

26°C or higher

$76,821 वॉल्यूम

Yes

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$189,464
समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) measurements confirm the highest temperature on May 4, 2026, reached 28°C at midday under partly cloudy skies, as moderating northeast monsoon winds eased following a thunderstorm warning cancellation late that evening. This aligns precisely with May's climatological normal maximum of around 28°C at the Observatory headquarters and HKO's seasonal forecast of normal to above-normal temperatures for May-July amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects this verified observational data from the Absolute Daily Max in HKO's Daily Extract, with resolution pending finalization. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data revision post-finalization, as short-range model consensus had anticipated sufficient solar heating to surpass 26°C thresholds.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$189,464
समाप्ति तिथि
4 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No

कोई विवाद नहीं

अंतिम परिणाम: No

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?" Polymarket पर 11 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 26°C or higher 100% (100¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 16°C or below 0% पर है।

आज तक, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?" ने कुल $189.5K ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 2, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 11 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "26°C or higher" 100% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "16°C or below" 0% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 4?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।