Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 12 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms or light rain suppressing peak heating. These atmospheric factors—elevated humidity near 70–80% and limited solar insolation—align with historical September baselines of 33°C and explain the market's strong 56.5% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 22.5% on 34°C. Trader positioning reflects the latest model consensus and recent daily observations near 33°C, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 सितंबर को लखनऊ में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
33°C 54%
34°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 4%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
54%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
2%
33°C 54%
34°C 26%
32°C 20%
35°C 4%
26°C या उससे कम
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
20%
33°C
54%
34°C
26%
35°C
4%
36°C या उससे अधिक
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and global models indicate a high of 32–34°C in Lucknow on September 12 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, easterly winds, and a 50–70% chance of thunderstorms or light rain suppressing peak heating. These atmospheric factors—elevated humidity near 70–80% and limited solar insolation—align with historical September baselines of 33°C and explain the market's strong 56.5% implied probability on 33°C, followed by 22.5% on 34°C. Trader positioning reflects the latest model consensus and recent daily observations near 33°C, with resolution hinging on the official maximum recorded at the Lucknow observatory.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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