Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 22 under clear skies and light southerly flow, well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 25.1°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have supported above-normal warmth across central Spain through mid-September, with recent observations showing daytime maxima 4–6°C above climatology. Market-implied odds favor 34°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation during peak insolation and urban heat effects, while lower probabilities on 35°C+ or sub-32°C align with the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
22 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 62%
33°C 35%
35°C 13%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C
35%
34°C
62%
35°C
13%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
2%
34°C 62%
33°C 35%
35°C 13%
31°C 6%
नया
नया
22 सित, 2026
28°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
29°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
6%
32°C
$17 वॉल्यूम
6%
33°C
$8 वॉल्यूम
35%
34°C
$80 वॉल्यूम
62%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
37°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
38°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 22 under clear skies and light southerly flow, well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 25.1°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have supported above-normal warmth across central Spain through mid-September, with recent observations showing daytime maxima 4–6°C above climatology. Market-implied odds favor 34°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation during peak insolation and urban heat effects, while lower probabilities on 35°C+ or sub-32°C align with the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 22 under clear skies and light southerly flow, well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 25.1°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have supported above-normal warmth across central Spain through mid-September, with recent observations showing daytime maxima 4–6°C above climatology. Market-implied odds favor 34°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation during peak insolation and urban heat effects, while lower probabilities on 35°C+ or sub-32°C align with the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$106समाप्ति तिथि
22 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and regional guidance indicate a peak of 32–33°C in Madrid on September 22 under clear skies and light southerly flow, well above the 1991–2020 daily average high of 25.1°C. Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover have supported above-normal warmth across central Spain through mid-September, with recent observations showing daytime maxima 4–6°C above climatology. Market-implied odds favor 34°C as the most likely outcome, reflecting trader assessment of potential model underestimation during peak insolation and urban heat effects, while lower probabilities on 35°C+ or sub-32°C align with the narrow uncertainty range in short-range guidance ahead of the final 48-hour forecast updates.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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