Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, aligned with AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and southerly flow supporting a Madrid high near 33–34°C on September 24, with minimal precipitation risk and strong daytime insolation under stable high pressure. This places the market-implied distribution tightly clustered between 31–36°C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large synoptic shifts. Historical late-September averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow 1°C resolution bands and potential for minor wind or urban-heat adjustments sustain balanced trader probabilities across the central outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
24 सितंबर को मैड्रिड में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
34°C 52%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
35°C 26%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
29°C या इससे कम
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
36%
32°C
36%
33°C
21%
34°C
52%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C
19%
38°C
5%
39°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
34°C 52%
31°C 36%
32°C 36%
35°C 26%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
29°C या इससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
30°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
4%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
32°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
36%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
21%
34°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
52%
35°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
36°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
11%
37°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
38°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
39°C या उससे अधिक
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, aligned with AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and southerly flow supporting a Madrid high near 33–34°C on September 24, with minimal precipitation risk and strong daytime insolation under stable high pressure. This places the market-implied distribution tightly clustered between 31–36°C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large synoptic shifts. Historical late-September averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow 1°C resolution bands and potential for minor wind or urban-heat adjustments sustain balanced trader probabilities across the central outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, aligned with AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and southerly flow supporting a Madrid high near 33–34°C on September 24, with minimal precipitation risk and strong daytime insolation under stable high pressure. This places the market-implied distribution tightly clustered between 31–36°C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large synoptic shifts. Historical late-September averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow 1°C resolution bands and potential for minor wind or urban-heat adjustments sustain balanced trader probabilities across the central outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, aligned with AEMET guidance, indicate clear skies and southerly flow supporting a Madrid high near 33–34°C on September 24, with minimal precipitation risk and strong daytime insolation under stable high pressure. This places the market-implied distribution tightly clustered between 31–36°C, reflecting modest ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large synoptic shifts. Historical late-September averages near 25°C underscore the anomalous warmth, yet the narrow 1°C resolution bands and potential for minor wind or urban-heat adjustments sustain balanced trader probabilities across the central outcomes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range further before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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