Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooling trend in Cape Town following peak warmth near 29–32°C on September 22, with southerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover limiting heating on the 24th. Consensus highs cluster around 23–25°C, consistent with springtime norms near 19°C but elevated by recent positive anomalies. This supports trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes while the elevated 36.5% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects lingering model spread and potential for brief clear spells or delayed cooling. Updated runs ahead of the 24th maximum will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24 सितंबर को केप टाउन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C या उससे अधिक 37%
24°C 19%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C
8%
24°C
19%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C या उससे अधिक
37%
27°C या उससे अधिक 37%
24°C 19%
26°C 17%
25°C 17%
नया
नया
24 सित, 2026
17°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
2%
18°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C
$785 वॉल्यूम
<1%
20°C
$44 वॉल्यूम
4%
21°C
$61 वॉल्यूम
4%
22°C
$99 वॉल्यूम
5%
23°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
8%
24°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
17%
27°C या उससे अधिक
$153 वॉल्यूम
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooling trend in Cape Town following peak warmth near 29–32°C on September 22, with southerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover limiting heating on the 24th. Consensus highs cluster around 23–25°C, consistent with springtime norms near 19°C but elevated by recent positive anomalies. This supports trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes while the elevated 36.5% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects lingering model spread and potential for brief clear spells or delayed cooling. Updated runs ahead of the 24th maximum will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,252समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooling trend in Cape Town following peak warmth near 29–32°C on September 22, with southerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover limiting heating on the 24th. Consensus highs cluster around 23–25°C, consistent with springtime norms near 19°C but elevated by recent positive anomalies. This supports trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes while the elevated 36.5% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects lingering model spread and potential for brief clear spells or delayed cooling. Updated runs ahead of the 24th maximum will likely refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,252समाप्ति तिथि
24 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a cooling trend in Cape Town following peak warmth near 29–32°C on September 22, with southerly to southwesterly flow and increased cloud cover limiting heating on the 24th. Consensus highs cluster around 23–25°C, consistent with springtime norms near 19°C but elevated by recent positive anomalies. This supports trader emphasis on the 24–26°C outcomes while the elevated 36.5% implied probability on 27°C or higher reflects lingering model spread and potential for brief clear spells or delayed cooling. Updated runs ahead of the 24th maximum will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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