Recent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया12 अगस्त को मिलान में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 42%
34°C 29%
33°C 13%
36°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
13%
34°C
29%
35°C
42%
36°C
10%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European weather model consensus, including ECMWF and Italian meteorological agency guidance, positions Milan for a peak temperature of 34–35°C on August 12 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that limits cooling. These conditions follow several days of above-average warmth across the Po Valley, with observed highs near 33–36°C through August 10. Forecast uncertainty remains centered on exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight wind shifts that could cap readings at 33°C or allow brief spikes toward 36°C. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 35°C leading at 41.5% as traders weigh the latest model runs and historical August extremes for the region. Updated forecasts and real-time observations through August 11 will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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