Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को मॉस्को में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23°C 51%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
51%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 51%
22°C 26%
24°C 15%
27°C or higher 7%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
26%
23°C
51%
24°C
16%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from Roshydromet and ensemble models centers on a 22–23°C maximum for Moscow on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s 50% implied probability for 23°C and 25.5% for 22°C. Mid-August climatology places typical highs near 22–24°C, and recent model runs indicate partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow limiting daytime heating and urban heat-island effects. Ensemble spread remains modest, reflecting stable steering patterns and modest moisture that curbs stronger insolation. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official station readings, while any shift in cloud cover or advection could tilt odds between the narrow 22–24°C cluster that dominates trader consensus.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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