Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and short-range models place the August 20 maximum in central NYC near the low-to-mid 80s, reflecting a stable surface high-pressure ridge with modest southwesterly flow and limited diurnal mixing. Differentiating 80–83°F from 84–85°F outcomes hinges on boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and the strength of the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–3°F in Manhattan relative to airports. Historical Central Park normals near 83°F provide context, while model spread remains narrow absent incoming fronts or convective cooling. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official NWS verification will resolve the narrow bins favored by traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को NYC में सबसे ज़्यादा तापमान?
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 28%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service ensemble guidance and short-range models place the August 20 maximum in central NYC near the low-to-mid 80s, reflecting a stable surface high-pressure ridge with modest southwesterly flow and limited diurnal mixing. Differentiating 80–83°F from 84–85°F outcomes hinges on boundary-layer moisture, afternoon cloud cover, and the strength of the urban heat island effect, which can add 1–3°F in Manhattan relative to airports. Historical Central Park normals near 83°F provide context, while model spread remains narrow absent incoming fronts or convective cooling. Updated runs tomorrow morning and official NWS verification will resolve the narrow bins favored by traders.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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