Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया23 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
23 अगस्त को साओ पाउलो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
27%
24°C
44%
25°C
19%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
24°C 44%
23°C 27%
25°C 19%
22°C 11%
नया
नया
23 अग, 2026
20°C or below
$4 वॉल्यूम
1%
21°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
3%
22°C
$12 वॉल्यूम
11%
23°C
$33 वॉल्यूम
27%
24°C
$4 वॉल्यूम
44%
25°C
$30 वॉल्यूम
19%
26°C
$14 वॉल्यूम
8%
27°C
$4 वॉल्यूम
4%
28°C
$58 वॉल्यूम
3%
29°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
2%
30°C or higher
$16 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$205समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$205समाप्ति तिथि
23 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign nearly identical 26% probabilities to highs of 22–26°C for São Paulo on August 23 because official forecasts converge on this narrow band during Southern Hemisphere winter, when climatological averages sit near 23–25°C. Time-and-date guidance currently projects a 22°C maximum under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, while broader August outlooks from AccuWeather and WeatherSpark place daily highs between 20–25°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Key differentiators include minor disagreements among regional models on boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification, plus the precise location of the official measurement station. With resolution imminent and no significant frontal passage expected, fresh model runs or observational updates over the next 24 hours will likely sharpen the distribution around the most probable 23–24°C outcomes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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