Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
24 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
12%
30°C
32%
31°C
34%
32°C
17%
33°C
12%
34°C या उससे अधिक
6%
31°C 34%
30°C 32%
32°C 17%
29°C 13%
नया
नया
24 अग, 2026
24°C या उससे कम
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
25°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
<1%
26°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
1%
28°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
8%
29°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
12%
30°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
32%
31°C
$13 वॉल्यूम
34%
32°C
$24 वॉल्यूम
17%
33°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
12%
34°C या उससे अधिक
$21 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$91समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$91समाप्ति तिथि
24 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weakening of the southwest monsoon (habagat) over Luzon is the main factor anchoring Manila's August 24 high near 30–32 °C, with market-implied odds reflecting this narrow band. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit daytime solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling, while moderate southwest winds add mixing that caps peaks. PAGASA and Met Office guidance currently point to 30–32 °C amid 40–60 % rain chances, consistent with August climatology of roughly 31 °C highs. Short-term model differences in timing of breaks in the clouds could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, keeping outcomes tightly clustered until fresh observational data and updated runs arrive over the next 48 hours.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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