The leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया22 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
33°C 12%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
31°C 35%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
33°C 12%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
24%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The leading market-implied outcomes of 30–32°C for Manila’s highest temperature on August 22 reflect PAGASA guidance showing a forecast high near 32°C under southwest monsoon (habagat) conditions, with 60–70% rain chances that typically cap afternoon peaks through persistent cloud cover. Recent heavy-rainfall advisories tied to the monsoon have reinforced this range by limiting solar heating and promoting convective activity, consistent with August climatology of 30–31°C average highs. Model consensus and seasonal baselines favor 31°C as the most probable peak, while deviations to 29°C or 33°C hinge on short-term shifts in monsoon intensity or brief clearing windows before the market resolves.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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