Current market odds reflect significant forecast uncertainty for Manila's maximum temperature on August 20, with 31°C and 32°C as the closest contenders amid the southwest monsoon season. Traders are weighing model consensus on cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and wind patterns that typically suppress peak readings during peak rainy periods, alongside the urban heat island influence from the city’s dense infrastructure. PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how variable convective activity and moisture from surrounding seas can shift daily highs by 1–2°C, with recent satellite observations of the monsoon trough position providing the latest inputs. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore the narrow margin, while upcoming model runs will clarify steering winds and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया20 अगस्त को मनीला में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
31°C 46%
32°C 40%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
31°C 46%
32°C 40%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
35%
32°C
21%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C या उससे अधिक
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current market odds reflect significant forecast uncertainty for Manila's maximum temperature on August 20, with 31°C and 32°C as the closest contenders amid the southwest monsoon season. Traders are weighing model consensus on cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and wind patterns that typically suppress peak readings during peak rainy periods, alongside the urban heat island influence from the city’s dense infrastructure. PAGASA guidance and ensemble forecasts highlight how variable convective activity and moisture from surrounding seas can shift daily highs by 1–2°C, with recent satellite observations of the monsoon trough position providing the latest inputs. Historical August baselines near 31–32°C underscore the narrow margin, while upcoming model runs will clarify steering winds and precipitation timing ahead of resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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