Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) currently indicate a most probable maximum temperature range of 20–23°C for Munich on August 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (29.5%). This reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate westerly flow, with limited diurnal heating from variable cloud cover and modest boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads create genuine uncertainty between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया18 अगस्त को म्यूनिख में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
20°C 19%
19°C 8.3%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
32%
22°C
30%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 32%
22°C 30%
20°C 19%
19°C 8.3%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
19%
21°C
32%
22°C
30%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) currently indicate a most probable maximum temperature range of 20–23°C for Munich on August 18, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21°C (31.5%) and 22°C (29.5%). This reflects typical late-summer conditions under moderate westerly flow, with limited diurnal heating from variable cloud cover and modest boundary-layer moisture. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, yet short-range model spreads create genuine uncertainty between adjacent thresholds. Updated runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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