Latest Météo-France and European model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with daytime highs expected near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and lighter northerly flow. The market’s tight spread between the 30 °C (35.5 %) and 29 °C (31.0 %) outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification within central Paris. Thunderstorm risk on the 15th may enhance cloud cover and limit afternoon warming, while any delay in the high-pressure ridge’s retreat could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया16 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
16 अगस्त को पेरिस में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
13%
32°C
10%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 16%
31°C 13%
नया
नया
16 अग, 2026
25°C or below
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
26°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
27°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
28°C
$51 वॉल्यूम
16%
29°C
$102 वॉल्यूम
34%
30°C
$68 वॉल्यूम
37%
31°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
32°C
$31 वॉल्यूम
10%
33°C
$10 वॉल्यूम
5%
34°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
3%
35°C or higher
$5 वॉल्यूम
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and European model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with daytime highs expected near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and lighter northerly flow. The market’s tight spread between the 30 °C (35.5 %) and 29 °C (31.0 %) outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification within central Paris. Thunderstorm risk on the 15th may enhance cloud cover and limit afternoon warming, while any delay in the high-pressure ridge’s retreat could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$282समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Météo-France and European model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with daytime highs expected near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and lighter northerly flow. The market’s tight spread between the 30 °C (35.5 %) and 29 °C (31.0 %) outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification within central Paris. Thunderstorm risk on the 15th may enhance cloud cover and limit afternoon warming, while any delay in the high-pressure ridge’s retreat could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$282समाप्ति तिथि
16 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETLatest Météo-France and European model runs indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with daytime highs expected near 29–30 °C under partly cloudy skies and lighter northerly flow. The market’s tight spread between the 30 °C (35.5 %) and 29 °C (31.0 %) outcomes reflects lingering uncertainty in maximum insolation timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification within central Paris. Thunderstorm risk on the 15th may enhance cloud cover and limit afternoon warming, while any delay in the high-pressure ridge’s retreat could add 1–2 °C. Updated model guidance and official Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key data releases likely to shift implied probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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