Trader consensus clustering around 32–33°C for Taipei’s August 22 high reflects Central Weather Administration guidance of partly cloudy conditions with afternoon thundershowers under a strengthening low-pressure system and moist southwesterly flow. These patterns favor daytime convection that caps peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, consistent with August climatology of 32–34°C averages. Ensemble model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in shower timing and coverage, which could allow brief clear spells to reach 34°C or keep readings near 32°C if rain arrives earlier. Official resolution will rely on CWA station measurements.