Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global model ensembles confirmed a daily maximum of 18 °C in São Paulo on May 23, consistent with late-autumn high-pressure dominance that suppressed daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Typical May climatology shows average highs near 22–23 °C, yet an advancing polar air mass and clear radiative cooling overnight produced cooler surface conditions that aligned precisely with the observed peak. Traders assigned near-100 % implied probability to 18 °C because verified station data and post-event verification matched this threshold exactly. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from INMET or a previously unreported localized heat spike exceeding measurement uncertainty, both of which remain unlikely given the stability of the observing network.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 23?
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$58,895 वॉल्यूम
$58,895 वॉल्यूम
23 मई, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$58,895 वॉल्यूम
$58,895 वॉल्यूम
23 मई, 2026
11°C or below
$500 वॉल्यूम
No
12°C
$537 वॉल्यूम
No
13°C
$1,331 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$797 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$4,022 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$7,452 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C
$12,628 वॉल्यूम
No
18°C
$12,136 वॉल्यूम
Yes
19°C
$7,067 वॉल्यूम
No
20°C
$5,210 वॉल्यूम
No
21°C or higher
$7,214 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global model ensembles confirmed a daily maximum of 18 °C in São Paulo on May 23, consistent with late-autumn high-pressure dominance that suppressed daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Typical May climatology shows average highs near 22–23 °C, yet an advancing polar air mass and clear radiative cooling overnight produced cooler surface conditions that aligned precisely with the observed peak. Traders assigned near-100 % implied probability to 18 °C because verified station data and post-event verification matched this threshold exactly. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from INMET or a previously unreported localized heat spike exceeding measurement uncertainty, both of which remain unlikely given the stability of the observing network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$58,895समाप्ति तिथि
23 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global model ensembles confirmed a daily maximum of 18 °C in São Paulo on May 23, consistent with late-autumn high-pressure dominance that suppressed daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Typical May climatology shows average highs near 22–23 °C, yet an advancing polar air mass and clear radiative cooling overnight produced cooler surface conditions that aligned precisely with the observed peak. Traders assigned near-100 % implied probability to 18 °C because verified station data and post-event verification matched this threshold exactly. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from INMET or a previously unreported localized heat spike exceeding measurement uncertainty, both of which remain unlikely given the stability of the observing network.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$58,895समाप्ति तिथि
23 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 21, 2026, 6:05 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: No
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: No
Official forecasts from Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) and global model ensembles confirmed a daily maximum of 18 °C in São Paulo on May 23, consistent with late-autumn high-pressure dominance that suppressed daytime heating and limited cloud cover. Typical May climatology shows average highs near 22–23 °C, yet an advancing polar air mass and clear radiative cooling overnight produced cooler surface conditions that aligned precisely with the observed peak. Traders assigned near-100 % implied probability to 18 °C because verified station data and post-event verification matched this threshold exactly. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from INMET or a previously unreported localized heat spike exceeding measurement uncertainty, both of which remain unlikely given the stability of the observing network.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न