**Persistent rain, thick cloud cover, and cooler northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the leading market outcome.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models forecast a high near 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered to frequent showers and a 50-70% probability of measurable precipitation during peak heating hours. This follows a warmer, partly sunny August 28 with highs around 32-33°C. Atmospheric conditions include elevated dew points near 22-24°C, moderate northeast winds of 10-15 km/h, and limited solar insolation due to widespread cloud decks associated with a passing frontal or low-pressure system. These factors reduce the surface energy budget and cap maximum temperatures several degrees below the late-August climatological normal of ~30-31°C. Model consensus shows little spread around the 26-28°C range, with minimal upside risk from clearing or downslope warming given the onshore flow. Traders have priced 27°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 25% and 26°C at 16%, reflecting the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs or any unexpected break in cloud cover ahead of peak afternoon heating remain the primary near-term variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29 अगस्त को टोक्यो में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
27°C 43%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
25°C 6%
नया
$13,893 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,893 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
15%
27°C
43%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 29%
26°C 15%
25°C 6%
नया
$13,893 वॉल्यूम
नया
$13,893 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
22°C or below
$1,251 वॉल्यूम
<1%
23°C
$1,191 वॉल्यूम
<1%
24°C
$622 वॉल्यूम
1%
25°C
$638 वॉल्यूम
6%
26°C
$2,813 वॉल्यूम
15%
27°C
$1,504 वॉल्यूम
43%
28°C
$2,355 वॉल्यूम
29%
29°C
$1,734 वॉल्यूम
6%
30°C
$1,144 वॉल्यूम
3%
31°C
$161 वॉल्यूम
1%
32°C or higher
$482 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain, thick cloud cover, and cooler northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the leading market outcome.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models forecast a high near 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered to frequent showers and a 50-70% probability of measurable precipitation during peak heating hours. This follows a warmer, partly sunny August 28 with highs around 32-33°C.
Atmospheric conditions include elevated dew points near 22-24°C, moderate northeast winds of 10-15 km/h, and limited solar insolation due to widespread cloud decks associated with a passing frontal or low-pressure system. These factors reduce the surface energy budget and cap maximum temperatures several degrees below the late-August climatological normal of ~30-31°C. Model consensus shows little spread around the 26-28°C range, with minimal upside risk from clearing or downslope warming given the onshore flow.
Traders have priced 27°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 25% and 26°C at 16%, reflecting the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs or any unexpected break in cloud cover ahead of peak afternoon heating remain the primary near-term variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,893समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent rain, thick cloud cover, and cooler northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the leading market outcome.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models forecast a high near 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered to frequent showers and a 50-70% probability of measurable precipitation during peak heating hours. This follows a warmer, partly sunny August 28 with highs around 32-33°C.
Atmospheric conditions include elevated dew points near 22-24°C, moderate northeast winds of 10-15 km/h, and limited solar insolation due to widespread cloud decks associated with a passing frontal or low-pressure system. These factors reduce the surface energy budget and cap maximum temperatures several degrees below the late-August climatological normal of ~30-31°C. Model consensus shows little spread around the 26-28°C range, with minimal upside risk from clearing or downslope warming given the onshore flow.
Traders have priced 27°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 25% and 26°C at 16%, reflecting the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs or any unexpected break in cloud cover ahead of peak afternoon heating remain the primary near-term variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$13,893समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent rain, thick cloud cover, and cooler northeasterly flow are suppressing daytime heating in Tokyo on August 29, 2026, positioning 27°C as the leading market outcome.** Official Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and multiple numerical models forecast a high near 27°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered to frequent showers and a 50-70% probability of measurable precipitation during peak heating hours. This follows a warmer, partly sunny August 28 with highs around 32-33°C. Atmospheric conditions include elevated dew points near 22-24°C, moderate northeast winds of 10-15 km/h, and limited solar insolation due to widespread cloud decks associated with a passing frontal or low-pressure system. These factors reduce the surface energy budget and cap maximum temperatures several degrees below the late-August climatological normal of ~30-31°C. Model consensus shows little spread around the 26-28°C range, with minimal upside risk from clearing or downslope warming given the onshore flow. Traders have priced 27°C at 41.5% implied probability, followed by 28°C at 25% and 26°C at 16%, reflecting the tight clustering of official and ensemble forecasts. Updated model runs or any unexpected break in cloud cover ahead of peak afternoon heating remain the primary near-term variables that could shift resolution probabilities before the market settles.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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