Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 28?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 28?
11°C 100.0%
7°C या उससे कम <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$39,101 वॉल्यूम
$39,101 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
नहीं
8°C
नहीं
9°C
नहीं
10°C
नहीं
11°C
हाँ
12°C
नहीं
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
7°C या उससे कम <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$39,101 वॉल्यूम
$39,101 वॉल्यूम
28 अप्रैल, 2026
7°C या उससे कम
$853 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8°C
$1,833 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
9°C
$5,072 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$3,834 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
11°C
$5,754 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
12°C
$8,481 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$4,930 वॉल्यूम
No
14°C
$3,260 वॉल्यूम
No
15°C
$1,667 वॉल्यूम
No
16°C
$1,656 वॉल्यूम
No
17°C or higher
$1,761 वॉल्यूम
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$39,101समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
वॉल्यूम
$39,101समाप्ति तिथि
28 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature at Warsaw Chopin Airport on April 28, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by IMGW and ECMWF ensemble forecast models converging on this peak amid persistent northerly winds advecting cool Arctic air masses. Morning observations registered 8°C under partly cloudy skies following overnight ground frost warnings (down to -8°C), while mid-afternoon readings hovered around 9-10°C with limited solar insolation due to variable cloud cover—well below April climatological averages of 13°C. This positioning reflects strong alignment between official observational data from the airport station (resolution source via Wunderground) and model guidance capping daytime heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing enabling a brief 1°C surge via enhanced insolation, though persistent cool advection and overcast conditions render higher outcomes improbable; final IMGW hourly updates through evening will confirm the daily maximum.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न