Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया29 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
29 अगस्त को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 69%
16°C 17%
14°C 13%
17°C 4%
नया
$26,753 वॉल्यूम
नया
$26,753 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
13%
15°C
69%
16°C
17%
17°C
4%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 69%
16°C 17%
14°C 13%
17°C 4%
नया
$26,753 वॉल्यूम
नया
$26,753 वॉल्यूम
29 अग, 2026
9°C or below
$900 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$2,860 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$345 वॉल्यूम
<1%
12°C
$1,050 वॉल्यूम
<1%
13°C
$426 वॉल्यूम
<1%
14°C
$5,894 वॉल्यूम
13%
15°C
$4,866 वॉल्यूम
69%
16°C
$3,726 वॉल्यूम
17%
17°C
$3,103 वॉल्यूम
4%
18°C
$3,386 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C or higher
$196 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$26,753समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$26,753समाप्ति तिथि
29 अग, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from New Zealand’s MetService and NIWA currently project a maximum temperature near 15°C in Wellington on August 29, driving the dominant 68.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Late-winter synoptic patterns feature a moderate southerly flow with limited cloud cover and weak high pressure building overnight, supporting daytime highs in the 14–16°C range under clear to partly cloudy skies. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 15°C, with minor spread toward 16°C if afternoon mixing strengthens or 14°C if marine air lingers. Historical climatology for late August places average highs near 13–14°C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly that traders have priced into the 15–16°C bracket. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and cloud timing ahead of the market close.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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