**Recent southerly airflow following a northwest wind shift is the main driver positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 66% implied probability.** A low-pressure system tracking east over the South Island is expected to bring a cold front to Wellington on September 7, 2026, replacing milder northerlies with cooler southeasterly winds, widespread rain, and suppressed daytime maxima. Multiple short-range forecasts, including MetService-aligned guidance and ensemble outputs, cluster the daily high near 12–13°C under overcast, windy conditions with 100% precipitation probability. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in Wellington, where average highs range 9–12°C but can reach 13°C under transitional flows. Model consensus currently favors the upper end of that range for the peak reading, supporting the heavy weighting on 13°C while assigning lower odds to 14°C (19.5%) or 12°C (12.5%). Minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs could shift probabilities if the front arrives earlier or later than projected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
7 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 67%
14°C 20%
12°C 13%
11°C 3%
नया
$12,145 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,145 वॉल्यूम
7 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
3%
12°C
13%
13°C
67%
14°C
20%
15°C
3%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
13°C 67%
14°C 20%
12°C 13%
11°C 3%
नया
$12,145 वॉल्यूम
नया
$12,145 वॉल्यूम
7 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$975 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$487 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$1,211 वॉल्यूम
3%
12°C
$1,695 वॉल्यूम
13%
13°C
$3,234 वॉल्यूम
67%
14°C
$1,502 वॉल्यूम
20%
15°C
$1,964 वॉल्यूम
3%
16°C
$538 वॉल्यूम
<1%
17°C
$425 वॉल्यूम
<1%
18°C
$180 वॉल्यूम
<1%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$155 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly airflow following a northwest wind shift is the main driver positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 66% implied probability.** A low-pressure system tracking east over the South Island is expected to bring a cold front to Wellington on September 7, 2026, replacing milder northerlies with cooler southeasterly winds, widespread rain, and suppressed daytime maxima. Multiple short-range forecasts, including MetService-aligned guidance and ensemble outputs, cluster the daily high near 12–13°C under overcast, windy conditions with 100% precipitation probability.
This aligns with climatological norms for early September in Wellington, where average highs range 9–12°C but can reach 13°C under transitional flows. Model consensus currently favors the upper end of that range for the peak reading, supporting the heavy weighting on 13°C while assigning lower odds to 14°C (19.5%) or 12°C (12.5%). Minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs could shift probabilities if the front arrives earlier or later than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$12,145समाप्ति तिथि
7 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent southerly airflow following a northwest wind shift is the main driver positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 66% implied probability.** A low-pressure system tracking east over the South Island is expected to bring a cold front to Wellington on September 7, 2026, replacing milder northerlies with cooler southeasterly winds, widespread rain, and suppressed daytime maxima. Multiple short-range forecasts, including MetService-aligned guidance and ensemble outputs, cluster the daily high near 12–13°C under overcast, windy conditions with 100% precipitation probability.
This aligns with climatological norms for early September in Wellington, where average highs range 9–12°C but can reach 13°C under transitional flows. Model consensus currently favors the upper end of that range for the peak reading, supporting the heavy weighting on 13°C while assigning lower odds to 14°C (19.5%) or 12°C (12.5%). Minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs could shift probabilities if the front arrives earlier or later than projected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$12,145समाप्ति तिथि
7 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Recent southerly airflow following a northwest wind shift is the main driver positioning 13°C as the leading outcome at 66% implied probability.** A low-pressure system tracking east over the South Island is expected to bring a cold front to Wellington on September 7, 2026, replacing milder northerlies with cooler southeasterly winds, widespread rain, and suppressed daytime maxima. Multiple short-range forecasts, including MetService-aligned guidance and ensemble outputs, cluster the daily high near 12–13°C under overcast, windy conditions with 100% precipitation probability. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in Wellington, where average highs range 9–12°C but can reach 13°C under transitional flows. Model consensus currently favors the upper end of that range for the peak reading, supporting the heavy weighting on 13°C while assigning lower odds to 14°C (19.5%) or 12°C (12.5%). Minor forecast revisions in the next 24–48 hours from updated runs could shift probabilities if the front arrives earlier or later than projected.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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