Forecast models and observational data from agencies like MetService and international ensembles converged on a minimum air temperature of 8°C in Wellington on September 7, driven by southeasterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and dew points near 4–5°C that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the 100% market-implied probability for the 8°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions and hourly readings that avoided deeper drops. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or brief clear-sky intervals enhancing cooling, though current guidance shows low uncertainty around the threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया7 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
7 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे कम तापमान?
8°C 100%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,992 वॉल्यूम
$1,992 वॉल्यूम
7 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
नहीं
5°C
नहीं
6°C
नहीं
7°C
नहीं
8°C
हाँ
9°C
नहीं
10°C
नहीं
11°C
नहीं
12°C
नहीं
13°C
नहीं
14°C या उससे अधिक
नहीं
8°C 100%
4°C या उससे कम <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$1,992 वॉल्यूम
$1,992 वॉल्यूम
7 सित, 2026
4°C या उससे कम
$207 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
5°C
$632 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
6°C
$60 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
7°C
$130 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
8°C
$124 वॉल्यूम
हाँ
9°C
$319 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
10°C
$116 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
11°C
$181 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
12°C
$57 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
13°C
$145 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
14°C या उससे अधिक
$20 वॉल्यूम
नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies like MetService and international ensembles converged on a minimum air temperature of 8°C in Wellington on September 7, driven by southeasterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and dew points near 4–5°C that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the 100% market-implied probability for the 8°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions and hourly readings that avoided deeper drops. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or brief clear-sky intervals enhancing cooling, though current guidance shows low uncertainty around the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,992समाप्ति तिथि
7 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and observational data from agencies like MetService and international ensembles converged on a minimum air temperature of 8°C in Wellington on September 7, driven by southeasterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and dew points near 4–5°C that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the 100% market-implied probability for the 8°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions and hourly readings that avoided deeper drops. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or brief clear-sky intervals enhancing cooling, though current guidance shows low uncertainty around the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$1,992समाप्ति तिथि
7 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...परिणाम प्रस्तावित: नहीं
कोई विवाद नहीं
अंतिम परिणाम: नहीं
Forecast models and observational data from agencies like MetService and international ensembles converged on a minimum air temperature of 8°C in Wellington on September 7, driven by southeasterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and dew points near 4–5°C that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This aligns with the 100% market-implied probability for the 8°C outcome, reflecting trader consensus on stable synoptic conditions and hourly readings that avoided deeper drops. Minor deviations remain possible from localized urban heat island effects or brief clear-sky intervals enhancing cooling, though current guidance shows low uncertainty around the threshold.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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