Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Australian Bureau of Meteorology indicate a high of 13°C for Wellington on September 24 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the September climatological average maximum of 12.5–14°C, supporting the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 13°C and 41% for 14°C. Clear high-pressure influence and stable steering patterns have kept recent model runs consistent, with limited scope for significant warming or cooling before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and local measurement sites, while assigning low odds to outliers beyond 15°C or below 12°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
13°C 54%
14°C 42%
15°C 5%
12°C 4%
$13,059 वॉल्यूम
$13,059 वॉल्यूम
8°C या उससे कम
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
54%
14°C
42%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
13°C 54%
14°C 42%
15°C 5%
12°C 4%
$13,059 वॉल्यूम
$13,059 वॉल्यूम
8°C या उससे कम
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
54%
14°C
42%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
समाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and Australian Bureau of Meteorology indicate a high of 13°C for Wellington on September 24 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with the September climatological average maximum of 12.5–14°C, supporting the market's leading 52.5% implied probability for 13°C and 41% for 14°C. Clear high-pressure influence and stable steering patterns have kept recent model runs consistent, with limited scope for significant warming or cooling before the 24-hour observation window closes. Traders appear to price in modest uncertainty around exact peak timing and local measurement sites, while assigning low odds to outliers beyond 15°C or below 12°C given the narrow forecast envelope.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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