Official MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate a high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 25, supported by a ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea and northerly winds advecting milder air masses. Spring climatology shows average September maxima around 14°C, with current model consensus from ACCESS-G and international runs limiting upside potential due to possible afternoon showers and variable cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 50% implied probability, reflects this narrow range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from timing of any frontal passages or wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया25 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
25 सितंबर को वेलिंगटन में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
15°C 66%
14°C 37%
12°C 16%
17°C 16%
नया
नया
25 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
16%
13°C
13%
14°C
30%
15°C
60%
16°C
13%
17°C
16%
18°C
5%
19°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
15°C 66%
14°C 37%
12°C 16%
17°C 16%
नया
नया
25 सित, 2026
9°C या उससे कम
$22 वॉल्यूम
<1%
10°C
$95 वॉल्यूम
<1%
11°C
$60 वॉल्यूम
2%
12°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
13°C
$5 वॉल्यूम
13%
14°C
$15 वॉल्यूम
30%
15°C
$149 वॉल्यूम
60%
16°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
13%
17°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
18°C
$0 वॉल्यूम
5%
19°C या उससे अधिक
$60 वॉल्यूम
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate a high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 25, supported by a ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea and northerly winds advecting milder air masses. Spring climatology shows average September maxima around 14°C, with current model consensus from ACCESS-G and international runs limiting upside potential due to possible afternoon showers and variable cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 50% implied probability, reflects this narrow range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from timing of any frontal passages or wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$251समाप्ति तिथि
25 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate a high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 25, supported by a ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea and northerly winds advecting milder air masses. Spring climatology shows average September maxima around 14°C, with current model consensus from ACCESS-G and international runs limiting upside potential due to possible afternoon showers and variable cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 50% implied probability, reflects this narrow range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from timing of any frontal passages or wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
वॉल्यूम
$251समाप्ति तिथि
25 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService and ensemble forecasts indicate a high near 14–15°C for Wellington on September 25, supported by a ridge of high pressure over the Tasman Sea and northerly winds advecting milder air masses. Spring climatology shows average September maxima around 14°C, with current model consensus from ACCESS-G and international runs limiting upside potential due to possible afternoon showers and variable cloud cover. Trader positioning, with 15°C at 50% implied probability, reflects this narrow range while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from timing of any frontal passages or wind shifts that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C. Updated guidance ahead of the event will refine these odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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