The market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Hong Kong’s daily maximum on September 24, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon. Current regional observations show peaks near 32–33°C at stations like Sheung Shui and Chek Lap Kok, consistent with late-September climatology and subsidence-driven warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. The primary resolution criterion is the official observatory reading, with limited upside risk from localized heating or forecast revisions. Model consensus and real-time data leave little room for higher thresholds, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor uncertainty before final verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया24 सितंबर को हांगकांग में सबसे अधिक तापमान?
32°C 98%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
25°C या उससे कम <1%
$82,157 वॉल्यूम
$82,157 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
32°C 98%
33°C 1.0%
34°C <1%
25°C या उससे कम <1%
$82,157 वॉल्यूम
$82,157 वॉल्यूम
25°C या उससे कम
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C या उससे अधिक
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47de9d...The market-implied odds strongly favor 32°C as Hong Kong’s daily maximum on September 24, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official forecast of 27–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating northeast monsoon. Current regional observations show peaks near 32–33°C at stations like Sheung Shui and Chek Lap Kok, consistent with late-September climatology and subsidence-driven warming without significant cloud cover or precipitation. The primary resolution criterion is the official observatory reading, with limited upside risk from localized heating or forecast revisions. Model consensus and real-time data leave little room for higher thresholds, though any unexpected convective development could introduce minor uncertainty before final verification.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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