Official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show the opposition Tisza Party securing 52.1% of the party list popular vote against ruling Fidesz-KDNP's 39.6%, a 12.5 percentage point margin that drives trader consensus to 94% probability for Tisza's 12-15% victory range. This aligns with final pre-election polls from Median and others projecting 12-17% leads amid record 79.6% turnout, Péter Magyar's anti-corruption campaign, and economic pressures eroding Fidesz support. Viktor Orbán's election night concession and consistent partial counts solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include minor certification tweaks or rural recounts, but observer-verified free and fair voting makes deviations beyond 9-18% unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातिस्सा 12-15% 93.8%
तिस्सा 15-18% 4.9%
तिस्ज़ा 9-12% 1.6%
टिसा 18%+ <1%
$757,355 वॉल्यूम
$757,355 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
टिसा 18%+
1%
तिस्सा 15-18%
5%
तिस्सा 12-15%
94%
तिस्ज़ा 9-12%
2%
तिस्ज़ा <9%
<1%
अन्य
<1%
तिस्सा 12-15% 93.8%
तिस्सा 15-18% 4.9%
तिस्ज़ा 9-12% 1.6%
टिसा 18%+ <1%
$757,355 वॉल्यूम
$757,355 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
टिसा 18%+
$156,340 वॉल्यूम
1%
तिस्सा 15-18%
$196,830 वॉल्यूम
5%
तिस्सा 12-15%
$230,180 वॉल्यूम
94%
तिस्ज़ा 9-12%
$104,742 वॉल्यूम
2%
तिस्ज़ा <9%
$42,370 वॉल्यूम
<1%
अन्य
$26,892 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show the opposition Tisza Party securing 52.1% of the party list popular vote against ruling Fidesz-KDNP's 39.6%, a 12.5 percentage point margin that drives trader consensus to 94% probability for Tisza's 12-15% victory range. This aligns with final pre-election polls from Median and others projecting 12-17% leads amid record 79.6% turnout, Péter Magyar's anti-corruption campaign, and economic pressures eroding Fidesz support. Viktor Orbán's election night concession and consistent partial counts solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include minor certification tweaks or rural recounts, but observer-verified free and fair voting makes deviations beyond 9-18% unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$757,355समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.Official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show the opposition Tisza Party securing 52.1% of the party list popular vote against ruling Fidesz-KDNP's 39.6%, a 12.5 percentage point margin that drives trader consensus to 94% probability for Tisza's 12-15% victory range. This aligns with final pre-election polls from Median and others projecting 12-17% leads amid record 79.6% turnout, Péter Magyar's anti-corruption campaign, and economic pressures eroding Fidesz support. Viktor Orbán's election night concession and consistent partial counts solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include minor certification tweaks or rural recounts, but observer-verified free and fair voting makes deviations beyond 9-18% unlikely.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties/coalitions in terms of national party list votes in this election.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid national list votes received by the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the most national list votes and the party/coalition whose national candidate list wins the second-most national list votes. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party/coalition will be determined by dividing the total number of valid national list votes each of the top two parties/coalitions receives by the sum of all valid national party list votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the party/coalition whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
वॉल्यूम
$757,355समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 3:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election show the opposition Tisza Party securing 52.1% of the party list popular vote against ruling Fidesz-KDNP's 39.6%, a 12.5 percentage point margin that drives trader consensus to 94% probability for Tisza's 12-15% victory range. This aligns with final pre-election polls from Median and others projecting 12-17% leads amid record 79.6% turnout, Péter Magyar's anti-corruption campaign, and economic pressures eroding Fidesz support. Viktor Orbán's election night concession and consistent partial counts solidified positioning. Realistic challenges include minor certification tweaks or rural recounts, but observer-verified free and fair voting makes deviations beyond 9-18% unlikely.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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