Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted nationwide, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party securing approximately 52% of the national list vote—equivalent to the popular vote—against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 99.5% implied probability for Tisza as winner. Record turnout and Tisza's sweep across most constituencies prompted Viktor Orbán's concession of a "painful but clear" defeat, ending his 16-year rule and projecting a Tisza supermajority of 137 seats. Markets price minimal risk of reversal, as final certification by the National Election Commission typically follows partial tallies without upset; only substantiated fraud claims or recounts could challenge, though precedents indicate low feasibility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयातिस्ज़ा 99.4%
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%
अन्य <1%
$1,816,584 वॉल्यूम
$1,816,584 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी
<1%
तिस्ज़ा
99%
अन्य
<1%
तिस्ज़ा 99.4%
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी <1%
अन्य <1%
$1,816,584 वॉल्यूम
$1,816,584 वॉल्यूम
12 अप्रैल, 2026
फिदेस्ज़–केडीएनपी
$698,209 वॉल्यूम
<1%
तिस्ज़ा
$798,334 वॉल्यूम
99%
अन्य
$320,040 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted nationwide, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party securing approximately 52% of the national list vote—equivalent to the popular vote—against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 99.5% implied probability for Tisza as winner. Record turnout and Tisza's sweep across most constituencies prompted Viktor Orbán's concession of a "painful but clear" defeat, ending his 16-year rule and projecting a Tisza supermajority of 137 seats. Markets price minimal risk of reversal, as final certification by the National Election Commission typically follows partial tallies without upset; only substantiated fraud claims or recounts could challenge, though precedents indicate low feasibility.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,816,584समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted nationwide, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party securing approximately 52% of the national list vote—equivalent to the popular vote—against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 99.5% implied probability for Tisza as winner. Record turnout and Tisza's sweep across most constituencies prompted Viktor Orbán's concession of a "painful but clear" defeat, ending his 16-year rule and projecting a Tisza supermajority of 137 seats. Markets price minimal risk of reversal, as final certification by the National Election Commission typically follows partial tallies without upset; only substantiated fraud claims or recounts could challenge, though precedents indicate low feasibility.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. Hungary uses a mixed electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member constituency and one for a national party list.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition whose national candidate list receives the most valid national party list votes in this election.
This market will resolve solely based on national party list votes cast in this election. Votes cast for single-member constituencies will not be considered.
If two or more parties/coalitions tie for the most valid national party list votes in this election, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most national list votes in this election, or the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the official election results reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu). However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also suffice.
Note: If the Fidesz-KDNP does not contest this election with a joint national party list, the Fidesz-KDNP option will represent the national party list officially registered by Fidesz.
वॉल्यूम
$1,816,584समाप्ति तिथि
12 अप्रैल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, with over 98% of votes counted nationwide, show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party securing approximately 52% of the national list vote—equivalent to the popular vote—against Fidesz–KDNP's 39%, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 99.5% implied probability for Tisza as winner. Record turnout and Tisza's sweep across most constituencies prompted Viktor Orbán's concession of a "painful but clear" defeat, ending his 16-year rule and projecting a Tisza supermajority of 137 seats. Markets price minimal risk of reversal, as final certification by the National Election Commission typically follows partial tallies without upset; only substantiated fraud claims or recounts could challenge, though precedents indicate low feasibility.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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